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Grade 7: Probability, Percent & Rational Numbers

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Grade 7: Probability, Percent & Rational Numbers

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ProbabilityA branch of mathematics that provides the foundation for statistical analysis of data by assigning numerical values to the likelihood of specific outcomes.
StatisticsThe set of tools for the analysis of data; used to make qualitative statements about a population based on data.
Chance processAn experiment or situation for which the possible outcomes are known but which specific outcome will occur at any run is unknown.
Sample spaceThe set of all possible outcomes for an experiment.
EventA subset of the sample space; its probability can be described as impossible, unlikely, equally likely, likely, or certain, or as a number between 0 and 1 inclusive.
Experimental (empirical) probabilityProbability determined from the actual results or outcomes of conducting an experiment.
Theoretical probabilityProbability determined by reasoning mathematically about the possible outcomes, rather than from experimental results.
Part:whole relationshipA ratio relationship (used in probability) comparing part of a group to the total group, expressed as fractions, decimals, or percents.
Part:part relationshipA ratio comparing one part of a group to another part (rather than to the whole); studied later as "odds" in Chapter 7.
PercentA fraction with a denominator of 100; "per hundred."
Rational number equivalenceThe understanding that fractions, decimals, and percents are equivalent forms of numbers, all relative to an agreed-upon whole or unit.
Blaise PascalFrench mathematician who, with Pierre Fermat, solved Chevalier de Méré's dice probability problem, marking the beginning of the mathematical theory of probability.
Chevalier de MéréA professional gambler whose dice betting problems (involving rolling a six and double sixes) led to the founding of probability theory.
Pierre FermatMathematician who worked with Pascal to solve de Méré's dice problem, helping establish the theory of probability.
De Méré's first dice gameBetting on rolling a six at least once in four rolls; correct probability is 1 − (5/6)⁴ ≈ 51.8%, not the incorrect sum 4 × 1/6.
De Méré's second dice gameBetting on rolling double sixes at least once in 24 rolls of a pair of dice; his incorrect reasoning (24/36) led to losses since probabilities don't simply add.
Why probabilities don't addRepeating an experiment does not mean probabilities of a favorable outcome add together (e.g., 1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 ≠ probability for 3 rolls); instead, related probabilities multiply.
Batting averageA statistic (hits ÷ at-bats) derived from past data but used theoretically to predict the probability of a player getting a hit.
Percent problems (discounts, interest, taxes, tips)Real-world contexts used to practice solving percent and fraction problems, transitioning from models to numeric expressions.

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